Showing posts with label creative destruction. Show all posts
Showing posts with label creative destruction. Show all posts

Thursday, 29 December 2016

Facebook to Scoop (?) New Ideas in Partnership with Leading Research Universities


In an intriguing post, co-Blogger Neil Wilkof recently discussed how essentially elite firms may be beating the competition.  In a recent article on Reuters titled “Facebook Forges Agreement with 17 Universities to Streamline Research,” Dustin Volz discusses how Facebook has entered into partnerships (which includes unstated funding) with 17 major research institutions, including Harvard, Stanford and MIT, for the opportunity to work together on forthcoming research.  The article is a little light on details concerning the agreements.  As I described Steve Blank's discussion in an earlier post, some firms have placed outposts in technology innovation hotbeds to track new cutting edge developments and companies.  For sure, the nimble survive and those who are not do not—see Kodak.  However, Facebook may be strategically moving one step forward by starting at the source of some of the new major developments.  This arguably gives Facebook the “first” opportunity to scoop up new research and ideas as they develop in leading research universities.  Is this a good thing or a bad thing for innovation and importantly competition? 

The Reuters article states that:

The agreement between Facebook's Building 8 and the universities comes as the social media company seeks to find new revenue streams in virtual reality and artificial intelligence, after the company signaled last month it had begun to hit some advertising growth limits on its network of 1.8 billion monthly active users.

Research partnerships between universities and companies typically take nine to 12 months to facilitate, but the new agreement will allow for collaboration on new ideas within weeks, said Regina Dugan, who joined the company in April to run the new Building 8 unit.

Dugan did not provide specifics to explain how the partnership will promote a quicker pace of research, but traditional negotiations between universities and companies can often take several months.

Monday, 19 December 2016

"The winner takes it all" (or at least most), productivity and frontier companies: how does IP fit in?


The Economist magazine recently discussed (“The great divergence’, November 12th) an (unnamed) research report carried out by three researchers at OECD (Dan Andrews, Chiara Criscuolo and Peter Gal), which suggests that the Schumpeterian notion of “creative destruction” may be stuck in neutral. Leading companies seem more and more to be enjoying a continuing lead in their industries, with less and less challenges from scrappy newcomers.

In particular, the report found a major distinction in productivity between the top 5% companies surveyed. These so-called “frontier” companies show productivity gains of 2.6% per year, while the remaining 95% have managed only 0.6% productivity gains. The difference in productivity is even more stark when comes to services: 3.6% for the frontier companies as compared to only 0.4% for the stragglers. Two major themes relating to IP emerge from The Economist article: (i) the role of patents and know-how; and (ii) the transmission mechanism for innovation.

The role of patents and know-how—Regarding patents, the report states that frontier companies “[u]nsurprisingly …are ahead of the pack in technological terms, and they make much intensive use of patents.” No more explanation is provided, which is a shame, because the statement as provided is not entirely clear. How does one measure “intensive use of patents”; is it a quantitative or qualitative analysis? Is it really the case that a major indicium that distinguishes between the frontier companies and the laggards is patent activity? One need only think of the large patent portfolios that were sold several years ago by failing companies such as Kodak and Nortel. It is a pity that the article does not elaborate.

Of equal interest is the role of know-how. The article writes that “…frontier firms (the 5%) have each discovered their own secret sauce”, going on to describe the know-how that has enabled companies such as 3G Capital (a successful, Brazilian-based private equity firm), Amazon, and BMW to dominate. The linkages between the patent position and the development of special know-how tailored to each of these companies’ activities suggest that the two work in tandem.

If so, even the most sophisticated patent analytics may be missing a crucial component in seeking to explain the success of technology-based companies. What may be needed is a metric measuring the contribution of know-how, which can then be applied together with patent analytics to provide a more robust picture of the IP position of these companies, and whether any generalizable insights can be obtained.

The transmission mechanism for innovation-- Here, the article focuses on how technology spreads horizontally between companies that are members of the top 5% as well as vertically within a given economy. The suggestion is made that with respect to frontier companies—
“…technological innovations from the frontier are spreading more rapidly across countries than they are within them. The gap between an elite British firm and an elite Chinese firm is narrowing even as the gap between an elite British firm and its laggardly compatriots is expanding.”
The upshot is that—
“…technological diffusion has stalled: cutting-edge ideas are not spreading through the economy in the way that they used to, leaving productivity-improving ideas stuck at the frontier.”
The result is what has been termed a “winner takes all (or at least most)” position in the relevant market. Schumpeterian notions of “creative destruction” are less likely to apply because not only do the frontier companies better exploit their patent/know-how mix, but they are able to attract the most talented persons in their industry. In such a scenario, continuing incumbency as an industry leader becomes more of the norm.

The causal direction of this relationship is not entirely clear, i.e., do more talented people lead to a continued stream of better patents and know-how, or is it the reverse, or are they merely coincident factors in connection with productivity and market dominance? Of perhaps greater concern is the suggestion that useful IP, particularly patents, will be increasingly the purview of only the top layer of companies, with less and less vertical transmission within the relevant industry. When leavened together with unique know-how, this combination gives rise to the increasingly expressed concern that IP, particularly patents, are more an instrument for maintaining market power than a facilitator of broad-based innovation.